← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: O. Ergün
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.67 |
| Sivasspor win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Gaziantep −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Christophe Lungoyi · Gaziantep |
| -5' | 🟨 | Ziya Erdal · Sivasspor |
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 29' | 🟨 | Charis Charisis · Sivasspor |
| 33' | ⚽ | Kacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep |
| 37' | 🟨 | Badou Ndiaye · Gaziantep |
| 37' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Emrah Başsan · Sivasspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Noah Sonko Sundberg · Sivasspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kalyon Stadyumu |
| 90' | 🟨 | Deian Sorescu · Gaziantep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Arda Kızıldağ · Gaziantep |
| coach days | 351.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1506.65 | 1490.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.12 | -21.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 33.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 11.73 | 6.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 0.09 |
| solidity v1 | 0.15 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 31.06 | — |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.76 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.12 |