← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 9, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Aydın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.44 |
| Alanyaspor win | 18% | 5.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +1 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Alanyaspor +1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Fidan Aliti · Alanyaspor |
| 22' | ⚽ | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| 35' | 🟨 | Milan Škriniar · Fenerbahce |
| 42' | ⚽ | Anderson Talisca · Fenerbahce |
| 48' | 🟨 | Yusuf Özdemir · Alanyaspor |
| 50' | 🟨 | Sergio Córdova · Alanyaspor |
| 60' | 🟨 | Sofyan Amrabat · Fenerbahce |
| 87' | 🟨 | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Richard Cândido · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | GAIN Park Stadium |
| coach days | 100.00 | 253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 6.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1560.12 | 1817.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.23 | 5.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 1.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 34.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 2.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 12.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 19.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | 1.26 |
| solidity v1 | -1.48 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | — | 30.86 |
| state index | 0.31 | 1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.01 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 2.40 |