← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Akarsu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 64% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.59 |
| Hatayspor win | 15% | 6.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −1.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Samsunspor −1.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor |
| 7' | ⚽ | Zeki Yavru · Samsunspor |
| 27' | 🟨 | Joelson Fernandes · Hatayspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Hatayspor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Landry Dimata · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| coach days |
| 221.00 |
| 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| elo | 1583.97 | 1344.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.54 | -2.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 65.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| league points | 49.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 0.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -12.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | -0.82 |
| solidity v1 | 0.13 | -2.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.18 | -1.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 2.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 0.86 |