← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Tonusluoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Hatayspor win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Hatayspor +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Recep Burak Yılmaz · Hatayspor |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Braian Samudio · Antalyaspor |
| 30' | ⚽ | Bilal Boutobba · Hatayspor |
| 39' | ⚽ | Sander van de Streek · Antalyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Bahadır Öztürk · Antalyaspor |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Vincent Aboubakar · Hatayspor |
| 86' | ⚽ | Ramzi Safuri · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| coach days |
| 31.00 |
| 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 3.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1353.03 | 1460.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.47 | -47.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| league points | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 4.73 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.46 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.00 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | -0.04 |
| solidity v1 | -2.08 | -1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | -1.41 | -1.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.37 | 2.36 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 0.97 |