← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 26, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
| Goztep win | 18% | 5.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Fenerbahce −1 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Goztep |
| 25' | ⚽ | Juan Santos da Silva · Goztep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Youssef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahce |
| 46' | ⚽ | Youssef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahce |
| 50' | 🟨 | Anthony Junior Dennis · Goztep |
| 53' | ⚽ | Youssef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahce |
| 55' | ⚽ | Oğuz Aydın · Fenerbahce |
| 69' | 🟨 | Filip Kostić · Fenerbahce |
| 82' | ⚽ | Novatus Miroshi · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oğuz Aydın · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 25 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 239.00 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| 452.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.14 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1817.38 | 1515.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.18 | 42.58 |
| eye test v1 | 1.29 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.68 |
| league points | 57.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 64.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 2.93 | 7.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.38 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | -0.78 |
| solidity v1 | 1.06 | 1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 30.13 | — |
| state index | 1.22 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -1.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.23 | 2.04 |