← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 24, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Gaziantep win | 20% | 5.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Gaziantep −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | David Okereke · Gaziantep |
| 47' | ⚽ | Kenan Kodro · Gaziantep |
| 55' | 🟨 | Carlo Holse · Samsunspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Cyril Mandouki · Gaziantep |
| 63' | 🟨 | Landry Dimata · Samsunspor |
| 83' | ⚽ | Soner Aydoğdu · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ercan Kara · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emre Kılınç · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mustafa Burak Bozan · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| coach days | 207.00 | 329.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -6.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 1.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1635.72 | 1551.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.62 | 12.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 46.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 6.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.19 |
| solidity v1 | 0.51 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 31.06 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 1.08 |