← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 12, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Metoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Sivasspor win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Sivasspor +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 29' | ⚽ | Bengali-Fodé Koita · Sivasspor |
| 56' | ⚽ | Sergio Córdova · Alanyaspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Turac Böke · Sivasspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Richard Cândido · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| coach days | 42.00 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| 72.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1512.20 | 1542.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.06 | 19.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.54 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| league points | 23.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 21.90 | 8.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | 0.06 |
| solidity v1 | -0.83 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.79 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.26 |