← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Özdamar
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 48% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.62 |
| Hatayspor win | 25% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Rizespor +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Rui Pedro · Hatayspor |
| 11' | ⚽ (og) | Lamine Diack · Rizespor |
| 23' | ⚽ | Bilal Boutobba · Hatayspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Francisco Calvo · Hatayspor |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Rachid Ghezzal · Rizespor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mithat Pala · Rizespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Erce Kardeşler · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giannis Papanikolaou · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 10.00 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| 590.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1354.50 | 1482.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.67 | -12.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 10.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 5.88 | 7.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.48 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.95 |
| solidity v1 | -0.89 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | -1.43 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 0.70 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.71 |