← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 44% | 2.17 |
| Sivasspor win | 28% | 3.51 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Sivasspor +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Arbnor Muja · Samsunspor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Rick Van Drongelen · Samsunspor |
| 49' | 🟨 | Charis Charisis · Sivasspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Garry Rodrigues · Sivasspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Carlo Holse · Samsunspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟥 | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 20.00 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| 173.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1511.40 | 1599.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.95 | -15.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.90 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| league points | 22.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.83 | 13.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.07 |
| solidity v1 | -1.34 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.92 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.90 |