← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 15, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 40% | 2.48 |
| Hatayspor win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Goztep +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Rômulo · Goztep |
| 28' | 🟨 | Taha Altıkardeş · Goztep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Anthony Junior Dennis · Goztep |
| 52' | ⚽ | Vincent Aboubakar · Hatayspor |
| 60' | 🟨 | Francisco Calvo · Hatayspor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Rômulo · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 105.00 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| 410.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1388.39 | 1456.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.81 | 25.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 9.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 6.77 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.53 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.45 |
| solidity v1 | 0.02 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -1.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 1.79 |