← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 8, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 37% | 2.69 |
| Eyupspor win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Eyupspor +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Emre Akbaba · Eyupspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Robin Yalçın · Eyupspor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Youssef Aït Bennasser · Samsunspor |
| 54' | ⚽ | Mame Thiam · Eyupspor |
| 64' | ⚽ | Halil Akbunar · Eyupspor |
| 69' | ⚽ | Mame Thiam · Eyupspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Emre Kılınç · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eyupspor | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 617.00 |
| venue | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu |
| 160.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1557.44 | 1616.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.16 | 1.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 2.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| league points | 28.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.77 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 2.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.11 |
| solidity v1 | -0.60 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.74 | 1.04 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 2.05 |