← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Mon, Dec 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Hatayspor win | 28% | 3.55 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Besiktas +0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Ersin Destanoğlu · Besiktas |
| 29' | ⚽ | Görkem Sağlam · Hatayspor |
| 41' | ⚽ | Ciro Immobile · Besiktas |
| 42' | 🟨 | Erce Kardeşler · Hatayspor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Rui Pedro · Hatayspor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Rigoberto Rivas · Hatayspor |
| 56' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Besiktas |
| 57' | 🟨 | Görkem Sağlam · Hatayspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Vincent Aboubakar · Hatayspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi · Hatayspor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Lamine Diack · Hatayspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Rafa Silva · Besiktas |
| 73' | 🟨 | Cemali Sertel · Hatayspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Abdulkadir Parmak · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 9 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 92.00 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| 184.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1401.29 | 1564.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.66 | -28.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 8.17 | 3.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | 0.76 |
| solidity v1 | -0.05 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 29.10 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.30 |