← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 9, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Aydın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Gaziantep win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi · Hatayspor |
| 12' | ⚽ | Rui Pedro · Hatayspor |
| 35' | ⚽ | Funsho Bamgboye · Hatayspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Deian Sorescu · Gaziantep |
| 59' | 🟨 | Cyril Mandouki · Gaziantep |
| 71' | 🟨 | Emre Taşdemir · Gaziantep |
| 74' | 🟨 | Cengiz Demir · Hatayspor |
| 81' | 🟥 | Bruno Viana · Gaziantep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Carlos Strandberg · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 69.00 | 253.00 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| congestion 21d |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1379.58 | 1484.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.51 | 19.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| league points | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -0.41 |
| solidity v1 | -0.19 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 31.06 |
| state index | -1.28 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.35 |