← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 20, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Türkmen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Hatayspor win | 29% | 3.45 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Sivasspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 36' | 🟨 | Lamine Diack · Hatayspor |
| 43' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Rigoberto Rivas · Hatayspor |
| 61' | ⚽ | Francisco Calvo · Hatayspor |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 79' | ⚽ | Samba Camara · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 2 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 324.00 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| 49.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1521.43 | 1401.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.44 | -24.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| league points | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 14.90 | 14.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 0.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -0.32 |
| solidity v1 | -0.87 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.47 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 1.42 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 0.84 |