← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: H. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Gaziantep win | 32% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Joseph Attamah · Kayserispor |
| 22' | ⚽ | David Okereke · Gaziantep |
| 24' | ⚽ | Aylton Boa Morte · Kayserispor |
| 26' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Gaziantep |
| 35' | 🟨 | Ali Karimi · Kayserispor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Kacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep |
| 57' | ⚽ | Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Aylton Boa Morte · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu |
| coach days | 18.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1467.41 | 1490.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.22 | -7.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| league points | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 13.77 | 12.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | -0.50 |
| solidity v1 | -1.91 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 31.06 |
| state index | -1.12 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.24 | 1.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.36 |