← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 6, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Metoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Gaziantep win | 22% | 4.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep +0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Besiktas +0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Ciro Immobile · Besiktas |
| 32' | 🟨 | Badou Ndiaye · Gaziantep |
| 38' | 🟨 | Ciro Immobile · Besiktas |
| 44' | 🟨 | Christophe Lungoyi · Gaziantep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Enric Saborit · Gaziantep |
| 55' | 🟨 | Emirhan Topçu · Besiktas |
| 64' | 🟨 | Kacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Gaziantep Stadyumu |
| coach days | 219.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1488.08 | 1621.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.12 | -2.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 7.13 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 2.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 1.11 |
| solidity v1 | -0.57 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 31.06 | 28.44 |
| state index | -0.67 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.69 |