← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Hatayspor win | 30% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Görkem Sağlam · Hatayspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Görkem Sağlam · Hatayspor |
| 48' | ⚽ | Simon Banza · Trabzonspor |
| 50' | 🟨 | John Lundstram · Trabzonspor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Serdar Saatçı · Trabzonspor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi · Hatayspor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Funsho Bamgboye · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Recep Burak Yılmaz · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ali Şahin Yılmaz · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Denis Drăguş · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 34.00 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simon Banza · Trabzonspor |
| 34.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1397.76 | 1613.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.88 | -3.22 |
| eye test v1 | -1.28 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.61 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.88 |
| league points | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 6.13 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.38 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.45 |
| solidity v1 | -0.10 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 27.37 |
| state index | -1.01 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.74 | 1.17 |