← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Mon, Sep 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Kayserispor win | 19% | 5.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +1 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Besiktas +1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.51 |
| Under | 36% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Ersin Destanoğlu · Besiktas |
| 17' | 🟨 | Kartal Kayra Yılmaz · Kayserispor |
| 21' | 🟨 | Baran Ali Gezek · Kayserispor |
| 56' | ⚽ | Gedson Fernandes · Besiktas |
| 75' | 🟨 | Bilal Bayazit · Kayserispor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Duckens Nazon · Kayserispor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Semih Kılıçsoy · Besiktas |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Ciro Immobile · Besiktas |
| 84' | 🟨 | Mert Günok · Besiktas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ciro Immobile · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 273.00 |
| venue | RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu |
| 121.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 3.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1452.08 | 1630.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.85 | 11.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.48 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.75 |
| league points | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | 1.40 |
| solidity v1 | -1.09 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 30.60 |
| state index | -0.91 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.92 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.86 |