← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Türkmen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Goztep win | 24% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −0.5 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Samsunspor −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (og) | Zeki Yavru · Goztep |
| 28' | ⚽ | Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor |
| 41' | ⚽ | Rômulo · Goztep |
| 50' | ⚽ | Juan Santos da Silva · Goztep |
| 55' | 🟨 | Mateusz Lis · Goztep |
| 56' | 🟨 | Malcom Bokele · Goztep |
| 70' | ⚽ | Olivier Ntcham · Samsunspor |
| 79' | ⚽ | Kingsley Schindler · Samsunspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Olivier Ntcham · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 11 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 89.00 |
| venue | Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| 332.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1544.34 | 1404.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.49 | 56.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| league points | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 4.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -1.10 |
| solidity v1 | 1.33 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -1.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.68 | 1.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.21 |