← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Metoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Gaziantep win | 26% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Đorđe Nikolić · Sivasspor |
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 10' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 16' | 🟨 | Christophe Lungoyi · Gaziantep |
| 37' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 50' | 🟨 | Azizbek Turgunboev · Sivasspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Keita Baldé · Sivasspor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Cyril Mandouki · Gaziantep |
| 69' | 🟨 | Keita Baldé · Sivasspor |
| 69' | 🟥 | Keita Baldé · Sivasspor |
| 69' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| 79' | 🟨 | Kenan Kodro · Gaziantep |
| 79' | 🟨 | Kacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep |
| 83' | ⚽ | Murat Paluli · Sivasspor |
| 88' | ⚽ | Kenan Kodro · Gaziantep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Deian Sorescu · Gaziantep |
| coach days | 288.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1530.89 | 1505.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.56 | 86.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 2.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 12.80 | 26.80 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | -0.58 |
| solidity v1 | -0.37 | 1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 31.06 |
| state index | -0.19 | 1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.14 | -0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 0.59 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 1.34 |