← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Aug 25, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Hatayspor win | 33% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Hatayspor +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Carlos Strandberg · Hatayspor |
| 32' | ⚽ | Carlos Strandberg · Hatayspor |
| 35' | 🟨 | Abdulkadir Parmak · Hatayspor |
| 47' | 🟨 | Cemali Sertel · Hatayspor |
| 51' | 🟥 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Hatayspor |
| 56' | 🟨 | Sander van de Streek · Antalyaspor |
| 60' | ⚽ | Thalisson Kelven · Antalyaspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Thalisson Kelven · Antalyaspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Amar Gerxhaliu · Antalyaspor |
| 66' | ⚽ | Moussa Djenepo · Antalyaspor |
| 73' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 237.00 |
| venue | Corendon Airlines Park |
| Jakub Kałuziński · Antalyaspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonathan Okoronkwo · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Armin Hodžić · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Recep Burak Yılmaz · Hatayspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Braian Samudio · Antalyaspor |
| 116.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 1.20 |
| elo | 1495.62 | 1426.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.04 | 9.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.48 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 35.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.03 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -1.06 |
| solidity v1 | -1.43 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | -1.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.35 | 2.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.74 | 1.07 |