← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, May 24, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 63% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| Anderlecht win | 15% | 6.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Anderlecht −1 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 327.00 | 327.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stade Joseph Marien |
| -0.60 |
| 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1789.32 | 1576.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -57.19 | 4.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.27 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| league points | 93.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -0.02 |
| solidity v1 | -0.01 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.77 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.15 |