β Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 Β· Thu, May 21, 06:30 PM UTC Β· ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 50% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Gent win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Gent +0.5 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 324.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| -1.00 |
| -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 3.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1520.15 | 1794.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.95 | -44.01 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 51.00 | 92.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 4.99 | 4.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.53 |
| solidity v1 | -0.00 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.13 | β |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.13 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.19 |