← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, May 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Mechelen win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.5 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 320.00 | 320.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| 2.00 |
| 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1564.55 | 1525.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.46 | -17.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| league points | 59.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -1.07 | -2.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 2.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.03 |