← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, May 10, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 65% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.10 |
| Mechelen win | 13% | 7.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| St. Gilloise −1.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 313.00 | 313.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stade Joseph Marien |
| -0.20 |
| 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1832.32 | 1528.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.05 | -35.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.65 |
| league points | 89.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -0.39 |
| solidity v1 | 1.14 | -2.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.98 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.84 | 2.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.03 |