← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Verbeke
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 37% | 2.45 |
| Antwerp win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Antwerp +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.83 |
| Under | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 313.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| 5.00 |
| -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1561.65 | 1548.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.52 | 45.02 |
| eye test v1 | 1.12 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 53.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.26 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | -0.41 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.10 | 1.60 |