← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, May 10, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Anderlecht win | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Gent −0.25 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 313.00 | 313.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| -2.80 |
| 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1515.88 | 1564.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.70 | -30.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | -0.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| league points | 49.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.36 |
| solidity v1 | 0.03 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 1.21 |