← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, May 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Mechelen win | 35% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Mechelen +0 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 306.00 | 306.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Achter de Kazerne |
| -1.60 |
| -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1520.56 | 1524.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.47 | -21.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.53 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.32 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| league points | 51.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | -0.88 |
| solidity v1 | -2.38 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.13 |
| state index | -1.34 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.10 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 0.83 |