← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Apr 26, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Anderlecht win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.75 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Anderlecht +0.75 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 299.00 | 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| -1.60 |
| 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.73 |
| elo | 1593.42 | 1838.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.33 | 12.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.82 |
| league points | 58.00 | 86.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 2.91 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 2.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 10.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | 0.06 |
| solidity v1 | -1.52 | 1.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | -0.03 | 1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 0.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.49 |