← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Apr 24, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Allaerts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 69% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.00 |
| Dender win | 12% | 7.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender −1.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Club Brugge −1.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under | 36% | 2.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 235.00 | 297.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Jan Breydel Stadion |
| 0.20 |
| -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.69 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1680.15 | 1395.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.17 | -18.39 |
| eye test v1 | 1.60 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 107.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 2.01 | 5.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -0.16 |
| solidity v1 | 0.11 | -2.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 22.92 | — |
| state index | 1.04 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 2.69 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.23 | 1.02 |