← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Thu, Apr 23, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Anderlecht win | 28% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 19 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 296.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen |
| 1.40 |
| -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1602.42 | 1606.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.87 | -6.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| league points | 67.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.70 |
| solidity v1 | 0.02 | -1.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.85 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.92 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.56 |