← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Wed, Apr 22, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 68% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Gent win | 10% | 9.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Gent −1.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 295.00 | 295.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stade Joseph Marien |
| 1.80 |
| -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1846.72 | 1534.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.00 | 9.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 85.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.24 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.30 |
| solidity v1 | 1.79 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.13 |
| state index | 1.61 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.61 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 1.44 |