← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Tue, Apr 21, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Charleroi win | 22% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.75 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Genk −0.75 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 294.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| -0.80 |
| 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 3.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1657.44 | 1492.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.12 | -61.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 56.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.72 |
| solidity v1 | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.26 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.84 | 1.60 |