← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Mechelen win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Mechelen +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 291.00 | 291.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Achter de Kazerne |
| -5.40 |
| -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1564.26 | 1595.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.73 | -26.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | 0.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 51.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 6.30 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | 0.46 |
| solidity v1 | -1.39 | -1.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.04 | 2.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 1.62 |