← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Apr 12, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Mechelen win | 16% | 5.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.75 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Mechelen +0.75 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 18 |
| 0 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 285.00 | 285.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Achter de Kazerne |
| -3.60 |
| 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1569.04 | 1830.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.99 | 14.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 51.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 5.79 | 7.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 0.08 |
| solidity v1 | -1.18 | 1.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.44 | 1.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.89 | 0.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.13 |