← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Mon, Apr 6, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Mechelen win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.5 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Mechelen −0.5 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 279.00 | 279.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| -2.80 |
| -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 9.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1546.53 | 1567.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.51 | -20.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| league points | 46.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.34 |
| solidity v1 | 0.20 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.13 | — |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 0.78 |