← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Apr 5, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Westerlo win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Westerlo +0 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 278.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| 2.60 |
| 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1570.33 | 1503.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.06 | -68.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| league points | 46.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.47 |
| solidity v1 | 0.84 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.38 |