← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Mar 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Waregem win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Gent −0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 255.00 | 255.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -2.80 |
| 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1525.07 | 1441.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.34 | -25.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | 0.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| league points | 40.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 5.20 | 5.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| solidity v1 | -0.81 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.13 | — |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 1.46 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.58 |