← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 7, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Genk win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Genk −0.75 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 249.00 | 249.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Marien |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 3.40 |
| 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1810.30 | 1653.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.91 | 5.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | 1.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.77 |
| league points | 64.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 6.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | 1.18 |
| solidity v1 | 1.32 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.21 |
| state index | 1.19 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 2.30 |