← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Mar 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 50% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Gent win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −0.5 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Gent −0.5 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 243.00 | 243.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 0.80 |
| -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1644.35 | 1517.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.27 | -34.62 |
| eye test v1 | 1.48 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| league points | 41.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 2.69 | 8.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | 0.15 |
| solidity v1 | 0.03 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.21 | 25.13 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.54 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.04 | 1.57 |