← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Feb 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Mechelen win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Mechelen +0.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 227.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| venue | Achter de Kazerne |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -2.00 |
| -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1582.49 | 1647.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.52 | 38.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| league points | 41.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 5.06 | 5.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | 0.61 |
| solidity v1 | -0.47 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.21 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.59 |