← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Verbeke
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Charleroi win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| St Truiden −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 214.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1629.03 | 1587.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.00 | 50.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| league points | 54.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 6.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.08 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -0.23 |
| solidity v1 | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.94 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 1.40 |