← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Jan 18, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Gent win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Gent +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 201.00 | 201.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -3.80 |
| 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1515.75 | 1635.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.52 | -15.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 27.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 21.70 | 22.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | 0.11 |
| solidity v1 | -1.12 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.12 | 1.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.29 |