← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 47% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Waregem win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +0.5 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Genk +0.5 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| coach days | 200.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -0.20 |
| 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1470.88 | 1621.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.82 | -44.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 27.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 21.10 | 22.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | 0.86 |
| solidity v1 | 0.39 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.21 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.18 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.29 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.37 |