← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 27, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Westerlo win | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Westerlo +0 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Hyllarion Goore · Gent |
| 23' | ⚽ | Maksim Paskotsi · Gent |
| 41' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · Gent |
| 43' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 179.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1500.28 | 1571.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.54 | 29.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| league points | 24.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 6.30 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | 0.39 |
| solidity v1 | -1.58 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.13 | — |
| state index | -0.82 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.44 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 2.17 |