← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 27, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Verbeke
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 53% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Waregem win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −0.75 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Antwerp −0.75 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Jeppe Erenbjerg · Waregem |
| 43' | ⚽ | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 60' | ⚽ | Gyrano Kerk · Antwerp |
| 71' | 🟨 | Mauricio Benitez · Antwerp |
| 82' | 🟨 | Xander Dierckx · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 179.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1606.96 | 1475.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.37 | 1.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | -1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| league points | 30.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 5.79 | 6.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.13 |
| solidity v1 | 0.44 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.80 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.94 | 0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.28 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 0.97 |