← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 26, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Charleroi win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Charleroi −0.75 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Etienne Camara · Charleroi |
| 15' | ⚽ | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
| 24' | ⚽ (pen) | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 25' | 🟨 | Lucas Hey · Anderlecht |
| 38' | 🟨 | Etienne Camara · Charleroi |
| 44' | 🟨 | Antoine Bernier · Charleroi |
| 77' | 🟨 | Lewin Blum · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 178.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1650.08 | 1544.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.46 | -5.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| league points | 39.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 5.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -0.06 |
| solidity v1 | -0.63 | 0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.05 |