← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Club Brugge win | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| St. Gilloise +0.5 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Mathias Rasmussen · St. Gilloise |
| 32' | 🟨 | Guilherme Smith · St. Gilloise |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Gary Magnee · Club Brugge |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 59' | 🟨 | Makaya Ibrahima Diaby · Club Brugge |
| 74' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 75' | 🟨 | Makaya Ibrahima Diaby · Club Brugge |
| 75' | 🟥 | Makaya Ibrahima Diaby · Club Brugge |
| 87' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 87' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.86 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Jan Breydel Stadion |
| 🟥 |
| Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| coach days | 116.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1625.37 | 1819.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 68.89 | -19.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 57.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 0.10 | 5.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 2.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.57 |
| solidity v1 | 0.06 | 1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 22.92 | — |
| state index | 0.84 | 0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 0.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.57 |