← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 21, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Antwerp win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Enric Llansana · Anderlecht |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 19' | ⚽ | Thibo Somers · Antwerp |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 52' | 🟨 | Adriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht |
| 87' | ⚽ | Tristan Degreef · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ali Maamar · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 173.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1607.47 | 1649.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.05 | 28.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.73 |
| league points | 29.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.77 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | 0.73 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.21 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.37 |