← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 56% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Mechelen win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.75 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Mechelen −0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Rein Van Helden · St Truiden |
| 25' | 🟨 | Mory Konate · Mechelen |
| 86' | 🟨 | Andrés Ferrari · St Truiden |
| 89' | 🟨 | Robert-Jan Vanwesemael · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fredrik Hammar · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen |
| coach days | 173.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1593.03 | 1589.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.29 | 25.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| league points | 39.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | -0.11 |
| solidity v1 | -0.79 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 1.65 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.29 | 1.16 |